Recent Analysis
  • By Andrew Whitelaw

Deciles: March 2017

Deciles are an important tool in your marketing toolbox, to provide a view for strategic decisions. This article contains a large number of decile tables across all major commodities.

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Deciles
  • By Angus Brown

Will Brazil’s issues prove a boon for Aussie beef?

If you read agricultural news websites, or even listen to the ABC’s country hour, you will be aware of the beef ‘scandal’, which has hit Brazil this week. The reasons behind the scandal have been well documented, so we won’t repeat them here. What we will do is look at what a suspension of Brazilian imports might mean for Australian beef exports.

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Cattle
  • By Andrew Whitelaw

Reaction to USDA

The northern hemisphere crop is advancing, with little in the way of supply shocks. However, when any potential issues become apparent the market will react (or perhaps overreact). In this report we examine how prices have changed after publication of US crop production reports.

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Grain
  • By Andrew Woods

Fine wool premiums and supply matching up

Mecardo last looked at supply and fine wool premiums in July, with the outlook at the time dependent on spring rainfall. Given the dramatic change in fine wool premiums since the middle of 2016, this article takes a look at supply and the price premiums for the 16 micron category.

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Wool
  • By Matt Dalgleish

Female slaughter ratio dips as herd rebuild takes hold.

The release of January slaughter figures from the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) shows a sharp drop in the number of females as proportion of the total kill level. The decline in percent of females slaughtered most evident in Queensland, unsurprising given the herd liquidation hit hardest here and thus signs of the subsequent rebuild should also be expected to show up more in the north.

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Cattle
  • By Andrew Woods

More lambs – where’s the wool?

During the past two decades the annual number of lambs slaughtered in Australia has increased from around 14 million to nearly 23 million, a rise of 64%. At the same time the flock size has fallen from 121 million to 70 million, a fall of 42%. This article takes a look at the change in lambs wool production during the past couple of decades.

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Wool
  • By Angus Brown

New Zealand Lamb Supply Should be peaking right about…….now.

Australia only has one major competitor in lamb and sheepmeat markets, our closest neighbour New Zealand. The lamb supply curve in New Zealand is much more seasonal than ours, and their season later, and given it’s about now when the NZ lamb supply hits its peak, it’s worth taking a look at their supply as it helps drive demand for Australian lamb.

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Sheep
  • By Angus Brown

How relevant is the ESTLI?

Regular readers will know that when we talk about lamb markets, we use the Eastern States Trade Lamb Indicator (ESTLI) as a base for our analysis. The regular reporting and widespread coverage of the ESTLI make it a reliable gauge for the level and direction of the lamb market. However, with the recent launch of MLA’s new market information website, we can now drill down to saleyard level and get some specific regional spreads to help guide buying or selling decisions.

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Sheep