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Friday, August 11, 2017

Away we go, wool bounds out of the blocks

By Robert Herrmann  |  Source: AWEX

2017-08-11 WOOL Fig 1

2017-08-11 WOOL Fig 2

2017-08-11 WOOL Fig 3

The three-week recess seemed to create pent up demand from the processors, with the larger offering and stronger A$ unable to dampen competition – the wool market had a good week. AWEX reported that buyers were bidding strongly from the outset to fill orders secured over the break.

As Mecardo reported in the last sale report prior to the market recess, demand is good and with growers seemingly selling as soon as wool hits the stores any improving demand will construe to create increased competition on the auction floor. This theme certainly continued this week.

The EMI rallied A$0.28, the WMI improved A$0.36 while in US$ terms the EMI increase of US$0.48 was significant.

While all MPG’s improved, it was the 19.5 MPG and broader that performed strongest including X Bred types. The 28 MPG is back above 800 cents for the first time in 12 months while it was September last year when the 30 MPG closed above the current 614 cents.

This strong auction market translated into strong bidding on the Wool Forward market with growers stepping in to secure good forward cover for the remainder of 2017, and trades secured into 2018.

With a larger offering (on top of a big offering pre-recess) and a season low pass-in rate of 3.9% (season average 6.3%), 50,300 bales were cleared to the trade. This is an outstanding result compared to recent sales patterns; the last time 50k bales were sold was in December 2016, and then you need to go back to January 2016 to see more than this number sold.

There was one negative in the market; the cardings indicators in all centres retreated against the general market trend to post. A small offering in Fremantle held the market steady, however in Sydney & Melbourne the Carding indicator lost 40 & 23 cents respectively.

The week ahead

The result this week gives confidence for the week ahead, and with the A$ seemingly having peaked we should see another strong result with all centres selling.

The smaller offering is a portent of things to come with less than 40k bales rostered per week over the next three weeks; this should assist the market to at least retain current levels.

Website Spot

Northern MPG
Northern MPG

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Go to Wool data

Southern MPG
Southern MPG

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Go to Wool data

Western MPG
Western MPG

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Go to Wool data

Mecardo information is provided to assist in your marketing decisions. It contains a range of data and views on the current market. It is not intended to constitute advice for a specific purpose. Before taking any action in relation to information contained within this report, you should seek advice from a qualified professional. The information is obtained from a variety of sources and neither Mecardo nor Ag Concepts Advisory will be held liable for any loss or damage whatsoever that may arise from the use of information or for any error or mis-statement contained in this report. 

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